COMPCOMPARE
Rolex Daytona John Mayer or £45,000
The Prize Guy · Closes 07 Oct, 23:30
AI Score 21/100 · at last calculation
- Current Value Ratio
- 0.10×
- Sellout Value Ratio
- 4.24×
- Estimated prize value
- £53,125
- Ticket price
- £0.45
12,114 / 500,000 sold · 2.4%
90% below prize value. This is not verified operating profit or loss.
Source Updated 1h ago. Metrics calculated 23 Sep 2026 17:43:09 BST.
Check entry details at provider ↗Why this AI score?
Metrics calculated 23 Sep 2026 17:43:09 BST. Ticket sales and timing may have changed since this refresh.
Prize estimate: sell-out revenue ÷ 4.24. Median of 36 listed-value competitions; conservative estimate: 85% of baseline value (minimum 2× baseline multiple).
Current ticket revenue less estimated prize: −£47,673.70. Based on tickets sold × current ticket price. Discounts, free entries and actual prize costs are unknown; this is not verified profit or loss.
The entry-pool component uses a time-adjusted sales scenario, not final winning odds.
Observed ticket sales
Latest 10 recorded observations. Sampling and gaps mean these are not a continuous record of every sale.
| Observed (UK) | Sold / total | Ticket price | Prize value used |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2026 17:43:12 BST | 12114 / 500000 | £0.45 | £53,125Estimated |
| 23 Sep 2026 09:56:16 BST | 12063 / 500000 | £0.45 | £53,125Estimated |
| 23 Sep 2026 09:25:13 BST | 12060 / 500000 | £0.45 | £52,541.21Estimated |
| 23 Sep 2026 08:38:48 BST | 12059 / 500000 | £0.45 | £52,541.21Estimated |
| 22 Sep 2026 18:08:44 BST | 11997 / 500000 | £0.45 | £53,125Estimated |
| 22 Sep 2026 12:06:37 BST | 11980 / 500000 | £0.45 | £53,125Estimated |
| 22 Sep 2026 11:10:26 BST | 11962 / 500000 | £0.45 | £53,125Estimated |
| 21 Sep 2026 20:35:07 BST | 11893 / 500000 | £0.45 | £53,125Estimated |
| 21 Sep 2026 11:46:56 BST | 11815 / 500000 | £0.45 | £53,125Estimated |
| 21 Sep 2026 09:56:39 BST | 11795 / 500000 | £0.45 | £53,125Estimated |