COMPCOMPARE

500 Chances of £500

The Prize Guy · Closes 07 Oct, 00:29

500 Chances of £500

AI Score 22/100 · at last calculation

Current Value Ratio
0.10×
Sellout Value Ratio
4.24×
Estimated prize value
£118,055.56
Ticket price
£0.20

60,976 / 2,500,000 sold · 2.4%

90% below prize value. This is not verified operating profit or loss.

Source Updated 24m ago. Metrics calculated 21 Sep 2026 23:01:27 BST.

Check entry details at provider ↗

Why this AI score?

Metrics calculated 21 Sep 2026 23:01:27 BST. Ticket sales and timing may have changed since this refresh.

Prize estimate: sell-out revenue ÷ 4.24. Median of 33 listed-value competitions; conservative estimate: 85% of baseline value (minimum 2× baseline multiple).

Revenue coverage near closing 40% weight0/100
Time-adjusted value per entry 20% weight30/100
Value at sell-out 20% weight29/100
Ticket affordability 10% weight96/100
Entry-pool size 10% weight2/100

Current ticket revenue less estimated prize: −£105,860.36. Based on tickets sold × current ticket price. Discounts, free entries and actual prize costs are unknown; this is not verified profit or loss.

The entry-pool component uses a time-adjusted sales scenario, not final winning odds.

Observed ticket sales

Latest 17 recorded observations. Sampling and gaps mean these are not a continuous record of every sale.

Observed (UK)Sold / totalTicket pricePrize value used
21 Sep 2026 23:01:32 BST60976 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 22:25:45 BST60966 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 21:56:19 BST60840 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 21:20:03 BST60808 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 20:35:07 BST60330 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 17:21:55 BST58092 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 16:46:25 BST58091 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 16:10:27 BST58079 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 15:34:55 BST57918 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 14:48:52 BST57482 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 14:12:37 BST57417 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 13:36:22 BST57416 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 12:23:12 BST57412 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 11:46:56 BST57402 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 11:10:29 BST57365 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 10:32:46 BST57276 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated
21 Sep 2026 09:56:39 BST57265 / 2500000£0.20£118,055.56Estimated